[Arktwo] Desert first
Bruce Beach
language@webpal.org
Mon, 10 Sep 2007 11:50:29 -0400
Sometimes we get good days -
and sometimes bad days.
I am reminded of the soldiers in the field
who would always eat their desert first
when they opened up their rations
just in case there wasn't enough time
to eat it later.
I think life may be like that for us.
We have gotten desert first -
and they have been tremendous days
for us living here in North America.
No people in the world's history
have had the benefits that we have had.
Yes, these have been the good old days -
and now -
comes the main meal -
and the steak -
if we get any -
is going to be a lot tougher.
Good days and bad days also -
on the stock market.
But again -
the good days may be past.
Never have I ever seen the stock market
hit with so many double and triple whammies -
all at once.
I can understand why someone may have sold it short -
a few billion dollars.
The PPT may have used up its resources
in the last couple of weeks
but they will surely be in there
first thing today -
and to try to rescue the market
before the day is over.
Still - there is always tomorrow.
Five key days to watch this month.
1. 10 Today (Monday) after the big Friday downturn
and Asian markets dropping in response
Also beginning of new moon.
2. 11-13 Reports of the Big Banks
after last months big shock.
Also first astronomical pair to 9/11 01
3. 18-19 FED and FOMC meetings
with possible interest rate change
4. 20-21 is "quadruple witching day" in the equity markets.
A new round of hedge fund redemptions,
with commercial paper rollovers at risk.
All so through 23rd - Spring Equinox
5. 30 - Hedge fund redemption date
(Think massive Derivative overhang -
and black October.)
Add to this political shocks
such as Petraeus to appear before Congress today.
UN activity surrounding Iran
Syria / Israel heightened tension
The Iraq situation
and a couple of surprise shocks
such as the missile thing
And the next three weeks could be
very exciting for the stock market.
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
Futurist One
Today I shall write to you as a Futurist.
The term Futurist has
theological,
artistic,
and other definitions.
I am speaking, however,
as a member of that class
that try to describe what the future
will look like.
A Futurist is not a prophet.
Does not have visions in a mystical sense.
Doesn't 'know' what is going to happen.
A Futurist is simply someone who -
based upon human knowledge -
sets down what they expect the future to be like.
Futurists can draw upon all sorts of resources.
History.
A knowledge of human nature and psychology.
The expertise of people in many fields -
each of which may have made predictions
about their fields.
These can be
astronomers
geologists
climatologists
demographers
actuaries
economists
and many dozens of other experts
who have studied trends
or who are aware of developments
in their specialized fields.
Futurists often write of their findings -
and their books and newsletters
are read by other futurists.
Their visions often differ greatly.
Some are very dark
and others very bright.
Some Futurists make a profession of it -
such as the
Club of Rome,
Rand Corporation
or for that matter
the Ayn Rand Institute.
Futurists work within different time frames.
Those most highly sought by industry -
such as Faith Popcorn -
work with time frames of a few months
to a few years.
Futurists existed
before the term 'Futurist',
in our sense,
was coined.
The visions of most futurists
were quite wrong -
but we stand in astonishment
at the accuracy of others.
Some Futurists often wrote their thoughts
as a part of works of fiction:
Aldous Huxley (1894-1963) -
'Brave New World'
George Orwell (Eric Arthur Blair} (1903-1950) -
'Animal Farm' and
'1984 - Big Brother is Watching You'
Herbert George Wells (1866-1946) -
Too many works to mention,
or to single out one or two.
Others wrote in a more serious vein:
Alexis de Toqueville (1805-1859) -
'Democracy in America'
Karl Marx (1818-1883) -
'Das Kapital'.
One needs to read them all,
although I receive numerous emails
from many whom seem to listen to
only one instrument in the orchestra.
I think they need to
move a bit further back
into the audience
and away from the bass drum
so that care hear the whole composition.
I would like to do that myself.
But many say -
"The Bible is enough for me."
That is the response that I most hear,
of course -
living in the society which I do.
Living in other societies
I would hear more about
Muslim views of the future,
or Communist views of the future,
or Hindu views of the future,
or whatever.
Still,
I do try to listen to
and understand
each view.
Even in the nominally Christian society
in which I live -
there are a wide spectrum of views.
Each year I attend
the Jehovah Witness Memorial Meeting
and I often see their literature
with pictures of the graves opening
and the dead coming forth
and lions lying down with lambs.
I have Mormon friends
with whom I often discuss their view -
and numerous fundamentalist Christians
often assure me that I will be
in BIG trouble
when Christ returns to sit on His throne.
I probably receive and read
a half dozen books
each year
from dear Hindu readers -
and then there are what I call
the 'New Agers'
with their expectations that
we are entering a 'New Cosmological Age'
in which we will all be transformed
to a new 'vibratory state' in the next
'harmonic cycle'.
Or whichever.
I try to comprehend it all.
Many people who write to me
hold fearful and pessimistic visions
about the future of mankind -
and indeed many report to me
such actual dreams.
The 'Left Behind' series
had a substantial impact
upon the psyche of North America.
Numerous, numerous, numerous
are the emails that I get
concerned about a NWO anti-Christ.
Few among the mid-trib and post-trib rapturists
offer any solution
except to hang on through it all -
until Christ's return.
The pre-trib rapturists
have left my list long ago -
by the thousands -
as have those who wish to return
to the Constitutional Days of Yore
when there was slave owning
and women weren't permitted to vote.
Most people's views
have changed from the past -
and most people's views in the future -
will be very different from those held at the present.
It is not that the world and reality will change -
but that people's views will change.
People will hold as different a view
of the physical reality
from what is held today -
that will be as different as are the views
held by most people by most people today
from the views of most people in the world
when they thought the world which was flat -
and feared that they could sail off the edge -
or that they thought the earth stood still
and that the sun revolved about the earth.
Concepts about the
physical
social
spiritual reality
will all change
and it is necessary to understand the changes
if one is to have an in-depth understanding
about the future.
Unfortunately,
that requires a paradigm shift
that is beyond most people today.
Even among that portion of
the North American population
that does not simply unquestioningly accept
the cultural reality myths of the majority -
most of the remainder fall into one of two extremes -
either a devoted attachment
to the old religious dogmas -
or a rejection of religion itself.
Those who take the latter position
will be disturbed that my paradigm
has a religious foundation.
The broad outlines
of what I expect the future to be
have been told in religious prophecy.
Yes,
I see these prophecies in the Bible -
and every other religion -
although my understanding is not the same
as the literal interpretation of some other readers.
Most particularly -
I base many / most of my expectations
upon what I find in the Writings
of my own religion -
the Baha'i Faith.
That very fact means
that I am starting with premises
that will not be acceptable
to some of my non-Baha'i readers.
It has been necessary
for me to spell out the specifics
of this paradigmatic milieu
in which I am presenting my ideas -
so that none will think
that I am under a delusion
as to the receptivity for these ideas.
A position which rejects
the dogmatism of religion on one extreme -
and the pseudo-scientific views of reality -
on the other extreme -
along with the materialistic,
selfish,
disinterestedness of the majority in the middle -
(which is certainly not the case
with the readers of this newsletter)
is going to find few receptive listeners.
Indeed -
there is far less than one percent
of the world's population
that could understand these views -
even if they were to hear them.
We are unfortunately at a stage
in the growth of humanity
where a large part of the race
remains illiterate -
and the remainder oblivious
to cultural concepts other than their own.
Faced with this situation
there is naught that I can do
but state my expectations about the future.
The underlying philosophical,
theoretical premises,
would be incomprehensible -
except for someone willing to make
an arduous and in-depth study.
The conclusions that I present
will convince no one.
At the bottom -
you will know the future
no more than I.
Whatever you believe now -
will undoubtedly be what you will believe
after reading my presentation.
The only difference will be
that you can know what I believe.
I shall present my actual predictions
in the next couple of newsletters.
I remain a short term pessimist
and a long term optimist
about the future of humankind.
Peace and love,
Bruce
DawnSayer@webpal.org