[Arktwo] Help Needed

[Bruce Beach]

For years, 
we have been many times more ready 
than most anyone else, 
but some of the activities 
at the moment are a bit overwhelming.

What has kept me from writing 
an Ark Two Newsletter 
for the last two weeks - 
has been a VERY successful 
Project 3000 J Group (medical) meeting, 
last Saturday. 

For the week prior to the meeting 
it was a matter of preparation - 
and for the week since 
I have been trying to format 
a promised web page 
based upon what we accomplished there. 

There are many things 
that I could write about here - 
such as the Turkey incursions, 
the Syrian situation, 
the Gaza expectations, 
the meetings taking place in Washington. 

However, I just don't have time -
because there are a number of 
physical tasks 
that also need to be done at Ark Two. 
There has been great help at Ark Two 
from the Oasis Agricultural Group 
for which we have a BIG meeting planned for 
Sunday November 25th at 1:00 p.m.

They have gotten the rototilling 
and planting done - 
and the winter rye is already up,  
although I haven't heard from the beekeeper 
on the status of the winter hives - 
and another truckload of manure 
needs to be picked up for the compost pile.

Half of what I called 
our vertical wood storage 
(a big dead tree behind the house) 
went horizontal 
and damaged one of the storage truck boxes 
so now that needs to be repaired. 

Today I have to load and take 
a trailer load of branches to the dump. 
MUST do it today - 
before a storm arrives. 
I have also been trying to get some members 
to take down the dozens of mirrors 
from the solar furnace array - 
and get them stored inside. 

Earlier this week 
my wife had me bring in her forest 
from the greenhouse. 
It is now filling one back room 
and up and down the staircase. 

Next big house task 
is to get the carpet taken up 
in the upstairs dining / family room - 
so that I can move in the wood cook stove. 
Didn't get last year's fuel bill paid - 
so this year we will have to heat with wood. 
Things like that may seem bad on the surface 
but they may be good in the long-run 
because they make us more independent.

Lots of people asking
to come see Ark Two these days 
and I tell them 'sure' - 
and we set a date - 
but then when I tell them 
to wear work clothes -
I never hear from them again. 

----

Chyna is no longer Chyna. 
National Service Dogs have changed her name 
to Printer. 
Very unusual for them to change a dog's name 
but Printing House donated the full $18,000 
for a sponsorship for one dog 
to be named Printer. 
They couldn't refuse.

Printer gets to come home 
for her last weekend - 
next weekend. 
And something else unusual. 
We will get to meet the family 
that she will go with. 

We don't know yet 
whether it is a boy or girl -
although they have been selected 
and the child must be between 
the ages of 6 and 11. 
Another one of my wife's dream projects 
fulfilled. 
Jemma is to be with us until next year.

For us -
life is very enjoyable and interesting. 
Sending a puppy off to serve - 
is like sending off one of one's children - 
because that is also what we raise children for.
We live in a most delightful part of the world 
and we live in very exciting times. 

------

A part of that excitement today 
has of course been the financial 
and stock markets. 
They are entirely unpredictable - 
because they are supposed to be controlled. 
I say - 'supposed'  
because the controllers may be 
losing control. 
All human systems and institutions 
eventually fail. 
That is the only thing we can be sure of - 
but we just don't know when, 
so I won't make any predictions 
about these events. 

However - 
you may be interested in looking at:

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX

Have never been much of a chartist, myself - 
but took a university course once 
from a professor who was - 
so sometimes I study them. 
Over the past number of weeks 
have spent several hours studying 
the one above - 
and I have noticed a pattern. 

Measuring from the bottom 
of the first low point 
to where the curve hits that point again - 
took four weeks. 

>From the second low point 
to where the curve hits that point again - 
took two weeks. 

>From the third low point 
to where the curve hits that point again - 
took one week. 

>From the fourth low point 
to where the curve hits that point again - 
took half a week. 

This is not a very long series - 
and I don't know that it has any 
historical precedence - 
but I can say that it is IMMEDIATE 
and if plotted as a line itself - 
would show an accelerating rate of fall. 

In other words - 
if the series continues as it is - 
the dollar is going into freefall. 
I don't know anything about these things. 
I am just looking at the numbers.
So - 
make your own judgements.

-----
Numbers and facts 
mean nothing within themselves. 
It is the interpretation of them 
that is important. 

Constantly I receive emails 
hammering at a number or fact 
that is presented in the news - 
and while the number or fact 
may be true - 
the interpretation is often 
entirely erroneous. 
An example of the moment. 

I continuously hear bandied about 
on one side 
that the International Atomic Energy Agency 
and certain factions in the US State Department 
have stated that it will be eight years 
before the Iran has nuclear weapons. 

On the other side there are those 
that point out that the US developed 
from scratch
the atomic bomb in about four years 
and that technology is now well known 
by every graduating PhD physicist 
and even undergraduates have been reported 
to have designed workable atomic bombs 
from the publicly available literature.

Some postulate that Iran may already have 
workable weapons 
obtained from former USSR satellites, 
Pakistan, 
in part from North Korea, 
or in some manner from Syria and Saddam. 
Whichever. 
Those appear to be the two extremes 
of the argument, 
and some people feel that the two positions 
are diametrically opposed.

No, 
the two positions can be simultaneously true.

Consider this:

Back in December of 2005, Muhammad ElBaradei, 
the head of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) 
stated that:
Iran was just "a few months" away from producing atomic bombs.

Now then, this last week, 
this same Muhammad elBaradei 
(still head of the UN IAEA) 
said to the French newspaper Le Monde, 
that "it will take Iran 
between three to eight years 
to acquire a nuclear arsenal". 
Consequently, he argued, 
there is no reason to consider 
conducting a military strike 
against Teheran's program. 
He said that there is still plenty of time 
for diplomacy, or sanctions 
or even incentives for the ayatollahs.

>From a few months in 2005 - 
to eight years in 2007. 
Can you see the discrepancy?
Actually, there is none. 

In 2005 elBaradei spoke of 'atomic bombs' 
and
in 2007 elBaradei speaks of 'nuclear arsenal'.

There is a world of difference 
between an atomic bomb 
and a nuclear weapon. 
An atomic bomb can generate only so much power. 
It is like a firecracker compared 
to the potential of a nuclear weapon. 

Still - 
those little firecrackers 
that the US dropped on Hiroshima 
and Nagasaki - 
did considerable damage - 
and they would do considerable damage 
to Israel.

There is also a world of difference 
between having a nuclear weapon 
and having a nuclear arsenal. 
The ability to demonstrate a single weapon - 
and the ability to deliver many of them - 
is altogether different. 

The problem is - 
one capability might come quickly behind 
the other. 
Iran is showing increasing ability 
to launch missiles into high space. 
Once it can achieve orbit - 
mass produce the missiles - 
and marry a warhead to them  
it can directly reach the US 
with nuclear weapons. 
Yes, that may take it three to eight 
more years. 

BUT - 
being able to deliver little atomic bombs - 
(the size used on Hiroshima)
to Israel - 
that is quite a different matter - 
and not something eight years away.
 
If the US lived next door 
to a belligerent country 
with those capabilities 
it would feel quite different 
than the people who say - 
"Oh, let Iran go ahead and build its weapons -
others have and we haven't had a nuclear war."

Muhammad elBaradei's sympathies lie with Islam, 
and culturally one wouldn't expect differently. 
That is understandable - 
and it is also understandable that he sees 
the greatest threat is action by Bush - 
and his greatest concern is in avoiding WW3.

People think differently. 
It is often difficult to understand 
how differently people think. 

Some people think 
that Jesus is going to come down on a cloud 
and that they are going to be raptured. 
This directly affects their attitudes 
about Ark Two 
and building a shelter. 

The president of Iran 
believes (truly believes) 
that the Mahdi is going to come out of his well - 
and that Islam will rule the world - 
and that whether or not Iran survives - 
what is important is that he be obedient - 
to what he understands to be the teachings of Allah. 

The president of the US 
believes (truly believes) 
that if he does not stop Iran 
from getting a nuclear arsenal  
that it will bring on WW3. 

How crazy one may feel 
other's beliefs are - 
one still needs to understand 
that is what they believe 
and that is what motivates them. 

Many people think that what I believe 
is crazy - 
but the above is what I believe 
about Bush's and Ahmadinejad's beliefs - 
and that is why I prepare Ark Two. 

And that does keep me busy. 
Too busy to be able to write 
long newsletters like this. 
And - 
it does mean that Ark Two needs help. 
So anyone willing to come and help - 
please do. 

Peace and love,
Bruce
DawnSayer@webpal.org