[Arktwo] Who is winning?

[Bruce Beach]

Clearly Iran thinks that it is winning.

1. It has gotten the US 
to greatly weaken its main Sunni competitor in Afghanistan. 
That is to say - 
Osama bin Laden and the Taliban. 

2. It has gotten the US and Israel 
to greatly weaken its main Sunni competitor in Palestine.
That is to say - 
Hamas which is largely funded by Saudi Arabia sources.

3. It has gotten the US to destroy Saddam - 
and the Bathist Sunnis in Iraq -
which was the main military might 
that it had directly confronted.

4. Its allies - the Shiites in Iraq - 
have been put in power by the US,
and Iraq thrown into civil war - 
with the US supporting the Shia.

5. It has the US bogged down in Iraq - 
so that the US can't leave - 
and so the US is having to use 
more and more resources there - 
rather than against Iran.

6. Iran's prestige over Syria 
has been greatly enhanced 
by the Lebanese war. 

7. Shiite Iran has gain the admiration 
of the Muslim World 
while Arab Sunni world 
from Egypt to Indonesia 
have been humiliated 
that Shiite Iran's role vs. the US -
has caused such consternation in the West
while the Sunnis have been ineffectual 
in confronting the US. 

8. It has split the UN -  
with Russia and China voting 
(or abstaining)
on its behalf 
against Europe, Britain and the US.

9. It has gained the support 
of the Muslim sector in the UN.

10. It has built, demonstrated, 
and battle-tested (by using Hezbollah) 
a modern technological war machine  
that astounded the US and Israel 
by its Electronic Warfare (EW) capability. 
Claiming a victory in the eyes 
of the Muslim world.

11. It has gained years of delay 
that permitted it to develop 
nuclear capability 
and to reject UN control.

12. It has developed, tested 
and demonstrated modern accurate 
medium range missile technology 
that can easily reach Israel.

13. It has repeatedly stood up to the US 
and has repeatedly rubbed the US nose 
in US power claims 
from the time of the 444 day Embassy hostage crises 
to the present toothless US / UN declarations. 

14. Except for US allies 
it has gained world opinion 
that the US is the aggressor 
using Israel as its pawn 
to try to control Middle East oil - 
and the world.

15. It has convinced many 
in the US Pentagon and among US allies
that its hardened nuclear sites 
are sufficiently non-destructible  
that only an unthinkable full nuclear attack 
by the US or Israel could take them out.

16. It has gotten the support of 
Russia and China - 
such that a nuclear attack on it would mean 
the total obliteration of Israel - 
and that if the US intervened 
then nuclear WW3 would be immediate.

17. There is no question that Iran 
has the capability of closing 
the Persian Gulf sea lanes - 
and stopping a large part 
of the world's oil.

18. It has established military alliances 
with Pakistan and Syria. 

19. It has greatly enhanced 
its working relationship with India - 
over pipelines and such - 
and to some degree with Turkey 
regarding the Kurds.

20. All this and more 
and it also feels that 
it has the support of Allah - 
in being the Seat of Shia -
the correct branch of Islam - 
the religion of God.

---------
This is not to say 
that all actually goes well 
for Iran.

A. In truth - 
Israel accomplished most of its goals 
in Lebanon by destroying most 
of the medium range missiles aimed at it 
and by widening the moat. 

B. The transfer of weaponry 
into Lebanon 
through Syria 
has been largely temporarily curtailed. 

C. Its EW technology and some other gadgetry 
has now been exposed 
so it will no longer be a surprise. 

D. The President of Iran 
is in reality 
no more popular in Iran 
than Bush is in the US. 
Probably even less so. 
The Iranian elections are even more controlled 
than US politics.

E. Iran did not have the clout 
to start the Oil Bourse 
it promised to start. 

F. The Iranian scientists 
were not (so far as we know) 
able to deliver the working nuclear warhead 
by either January 1st or August 22nd, 
as Iranian leaders intimated they would.

G. The EU (European Union) is very upset with them.

H. The UN keeps going against them.

I. Russia and China - 
while they may think it inevitable - 
in response to the US efforts at world control -
are not all that happy about the prospect 
of Iran starting WW3.

J. Lots of Sunni Arab countries 
are not that pleased about their 
Shia aspirations.

K. The deadlines (like August 29th) 
that the US keeps pushing at them - 
are inconvenient - 
although the UN itself is a toothless tiger.

--------
Things aren't really going that well -
for any of the Muslim countries. 
Any of them that you look at 
(Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, 
Syria, Pakistan, Afghanistan, - 
you name it in the list of over 20)
are fairly unstable - 
with different extremist groups 
such as the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt
struggling to take over.

-----------
And there is instability - 
everywhere in the world. 
China has emerging masses of peasants 
and breakaway Taiwan 
that it is trying to control.

Russia has already seen the break-up 
of the USSR - 
and its world prestige and influence 
continues to fall. 

The US, which has controlled 
the world currency - 
is in free fall regarding its debt -
at the same time it is involved 
with a civil war in Iraq 
that is calling for more and more US troops.

----------
Nothing bodes well 
for anyone - 
because everyone's fortune 
is tied to one of these world powers. 

It takes a cosmic view 
to see who is winning - 
but the answer is - 
God is winning. 

We are on the path - 
to turn the world around 
from its materialism, selfishness, 
and immorality - 
to live by the rules 
that God has established for it. 
The only problem is - 
we will all go through the fire first - 
in order for humanity to see 
that only God's Plan will work.

The world's destiny 
is a New World Order. 
The very phrase sends many people 
into conniptions.
True - 
the League of Nations failed  
and the UN is failing 
to bring peace to the world. 

I wish that I could tell you - 
that the next attempt will be successful - 
that it will not have the seeds of failure 
built into it - 
as did those two previous organizations. 

There are many views 
about what the NWO 
will or should be like. 
The Communists have a view - 
the Islamists have a view - 
the Neo-cons have a view - 
the Fundamentalist Christians have a view. 

The only view that counts - 
is God's view, 
and there is little need 
in my trying to tell you 
what I understand that to be - 
because you already have your view. 

Not that I understand 
God's Plan in detail - 
but in the long run 
it is that humanity will live 
in unity and peace 
with justice for all 
and under conditions that will promote 
its spiritual growth. 

That won't happen overnight. 
Indeed it may take centuries. 
But - 
it is path that we must move down - 
and each of us has the choice 
whether we are going to help remove 
the boulders and potholes along that path 
or whether we are ourselves 
going to be another one of the obstacles. 

----------------
While we see the overall destiny - 
the goal of the trip down the line - 
it is important to note 
the road immediately ahead.

1. UNIFIL is moving into Lebanon with
Muslim countries eager to play a role 
(against Israel). 

2. European countries are reluctantly saying 
they will participate - 
but that they won't disarm Hezbollah.

3. A real UN consensus for solution 
will be vetoed by one side or the other.

4. Iran and Syria will continue 
to press the boundaries in attempting 
to further arm Hezbollah.

5. Iran will continue to press on 
just as hard and fast as it can 
with its nuke plans.

6. The US will remain bogged down by 
public opinion 
Pentagon reluctance 
Iraq civil war
upcoming elections. 

7. Russia and China 
will continue to support Iran.

8. Hamas will continue to be a disturbance 
in the Gaza.

9. Hezbollah will consolidate its forces 
in Lebanon.

10. Political-opinion and political-will 
in Israel 
will become more and more tenuous. 

----------
Two questions. 

One: Will the situation improve for Israel? 

Two: Can Israel continue to let the above 
ten realities proceed along. 

The answer is No!
Consequently - 
an alternative path 
will have to be followed by Israel - 
and very soon. 

The longer Israel waits - 
the more unified forces can become against it. 

The longer Israel waits - 
the more that Hezbollah can regroup. 

The longer Israel waits - 
the further Iran will develop its nukes. 

The longer Israel waits - 
the more likely that some more unfavourable situation 
can develop against it in the US. 

Name what good things 
Israel should see itself waiting for. 

---------
But - 
these are just Bruce's views. 

Some people think 
Iran only wants nukes for peaceful purposes. 

Others think 
that even if Iran gets its nukes together 
that the MAD doctrine would keep it from using them.

Some people think 
that Israel is incapable of taking on Iran 
and that Israel knows that. 

Others think 
that God will never allow nuclear WW3 to happen. 

Some people think 
that the world will just go on 
from day to day 
as it has in the past. 

Others think 
that Jesus will come down on a cloud 
or that they will go up on one to Him. 

---------- 
But Bruce thinks - 
nuclear WW3 - 
very soon. 

So -
busy, busy, busy with Ark Two. 
Inviting all who will assist him - 
to come as soon as possible.

Different strokes - 
for different folks. 
You pays your money -
and you makes your choice. 
Not that there is any payment 
for participating in the Ark -
because there isn't. 

Certainly few have chosen 
as I have. 

Most don't think as I do. 
Perhaps -
some don't think at all. 

But - 
what is important to you - 
is what it is that YOU think. 

Peace and love,
Bruce
DawnSayer@webpal.org